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6 stories
Seeing Bitcoin's Gains Made People Likelier to Own Crypto, Cleveland Fed Paper Finds
People shown Bitcoin's 14.3% annual return were about 2.5 points likelier to own crypto later, and those who knew least about it reacted most.

One Week of Soft Data Cut September Hike Odds From 50% to 31%
Jobs, CPI, and PPI all undershot in the same week — flipping the rate calculus and clearing the runway for gold's best month since January.

Soft July Jobs Report Sends Crypto and Stocks Higher as Hike Fears Ease
The first big print of the month broke the market's way — and started the chain of soft data that would define August.

The Fed Holds — After the Hardest-to-Predict Meeting in Years
Markets went in pricing a one-in-three chance of a hike. The Warsh Fed delivered a pause without promises, and that counted as relief.

The Warsh Fed Has Stopped Explaining Itself. Markets Are Still Deciding If That's Discipline or Danger.
Forward guidance is gone, every meeting is live, and volatility is the new communication policy. An assessment of the regime change, one summer in.

Fed Holds in June, Still Penciling One Cut for 2026 — While Inflation Forecasts Drift the Wrong Way
The projections show core inflation at 2.7% by year-end, growth at 2.4%, and a committee in no hurry in either direction.